Will AI be able to make Alex Wilkins laugh before April of 2024?
Will AI be able to make Alex Wilkins laugh before April of 2024?
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130Ṁ44resolved Jun 3
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https://twitter.com/AlexWilkins22/status/1635573142243495936
The laugh must be genuine, and and it must be a "funny" laugh such as at a joke, not some other type like nervous laghter or laughter at how bad the AI is at something.
Hopefully Alex will be willing to answer the question. If not, resolves to my best guess as to the answer, or N/A if I really have no idea.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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