Vibes will have more active users than Sora at the end of 2026
9
Ṁ1kṀ2.3k2027
88%
chance
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This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Looking like a strong YES...if "Vibes" doesn't also die off: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/digital/openai-shutting-down-sora-ai-video-app-1236546187/
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