If anyone asks me to use a randomization method that others can verify, I will be happy to do so. Otherwise I won't bother.
please correct me if I'm wrong, but this market is effectively guaranteed to resolve NA. So the only realistic way to make money here is to predict what other people would do and to front-run them. Are all the people buying YES assuming that other people would buy YES? This is just a pyramid scheme, right?
@MichaelLatowicki "pyramid scheme" is such an ugly term. How about a Money-go-round?
I think this about the probability where misclicks/trolling becomes a relevant consideration? At least, as the claimed probability of resolving YES decreases, the probability of a YES resolution, conditional on non-N/A, should approach 50%.
This market has a 0.001% chance of resolving to YES. Otherwise it resolves N/A., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition