This market has a 0.001% chance of resolving to YES. Otherwise it resolves N/A.

16

closes 2024

71%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If anyone asks me to use a randomization method that others can verify, I will be happy to do so. Otherwise I won't bother.

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please correct me if I'm wrong, but this market is effectively guaranteed to resolve NA. So the only realistic way to make money here is to predict what other people would do and to front-run them. Are all the people buying YES assuming that other people would buy YES? This is just a pyramid scheme, right?

I think this about the probability where misclicks/trolling becomes a relevant consideration? At least, as the claimed probability of resolving YES decreases, the probability of a YES resolution, conditional on non-N/A, should approach 50%.

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8 YES payouts

Ṁ36

Ṁ28

Ṁ14

Ṁ13

This market has a 0.001% chance of resolving to YES. Otherwise it resolves N/A., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition