If I livestream a game of chess with my partner and run a market on the outcome, will that market get at least 15 traders? | Manifold Markets

closes Jul 1, 2024

If I livestream a game of chess with my partner and run a market on the outcome, will that market get at least 15 traders?

70%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

We'd be playing at a rate of around 30 seconds to 1 minute per move, on average.

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Where do u normally stream it?

Isaac Kingis predicting NO at 71%

@DavidChee We don't, we'd just be doing this for fun.

That's a nice idea.

Forrest Taylorbought Ṁ10 of YES

Nice

Ammon Lambought Ṁ50 of YES

What's your chess rating?

Isaac Kingis predicting NO at 76%

@AmmonLam Around 1400, and my partner is around 1100. (I'd give her some handicap to make it fair.) It'd be more the sort of thing Manifolders watch for the popcorn and facepalms than serious competition. :)

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