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If a solar flare at least as strong as the Carrington Event hits Earth before 2030, will we recover within 15 years?
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82%
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event
"Recover" means entirely back to normal, same technology level and standards of living as before. (The trend line can be disrupted, obviously.) Averaged across all of humanity. (e.g. one country being slightly worse and another being slightly better won't prevent this from resolving YES.)
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@IsaacKing So then if no such flare occurs this will obviously resolve true, rather than N/A, because that's what material implication means, right?
@ArmandodiMatteo Hmm, good question. I don't really keep up with economics data, so others would know better than me, but as far as the US goes my impression is early 2023?
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