If a solar flare at least as strong as the Carrington Event hits Earth before 2030, will we recover within 15 years?
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82%
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event
"Recover" means entirely back to normal, same technology level and standards of living as before. (The trend line can be disrupted, obviously.) Averaged across all of humanity. (e.g. one country being slightly worse and another being slightly better won't prevent this from resolving YES.)
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