Will a solar flare hit Earth within the next 5 years and cause widespread global disruption?
Standard
28
Ṁ7602028
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
A solar flare resulting in "likely one of the largest solar radio events ever recorded" occurred a few days ago, but since I didn't hear about it except from space enthusiasts, I don't think it can be said to have caused widespread global disruption. It did interfere with some radio stuff, though.
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/dec/15/nasa-solar-flare-images-radio-interference
Related questions
Related questions
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
45% chance
If a solar flare at least as strong as the Carrington Event hits Earth before 2030, will we recover within 15 years?
82% chance
Will a category 5 hurricane hit the USA before 2026?
53% chance
Will there be another G5 class geomagnetic storm from a solar flare during Solar Cycle 25?
39% chance
Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?
31% chance
Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?
15% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
35% chance
Will the Sun's magnetic field flip in 2024?
67% chance
Will the sun explode before 2025?
1% chance
Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
65% chance