One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions. (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
Okay, smart people I respect believe this acausal trade business so I've been hesitant to dismiss it and have tried to wrap my head around why I should give a damn about people in parallel universes.. The best I could do is that acausal decision theory is either...
a) Acausal trade is what you end up believing in if you assign a non negligible likelihood to the simulation hypothesis
b) Acausal trade is an attempt to put a rational grounding underneath some types of kindness and altruism
I'm probably wrong about this. If somebody would please explain to me like I'm a five year old what it is I'm missing (without relying on omniscient beings or simulations or other speculative stuff), I would be in that person's debt.
Curious what definition of parallel universes you are thinking of @JacyAnthis ? The types I think of (multiverse, many-worlds) do not support meaningful interaction between parallel universes almost by definition.
@IsaacKing I often make acausal trades with alternate mes produced through intentional splitting using the "Universe Splitter" app, which uses the results of single-photon interference events to split the universe.