At the end of 2023, will anyone with at least 1 million Twitter followers be actively using Manifold?
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resolved Jan 1
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NO

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bought Ṁ1,180 of NO

Surprised to discover that despite having nearly a billion YT views and 6M subscribers, CGP Grey has only ~300k Twitter followers.

I created a couple of related markets if anyone is interested

bought Ṁ40 of NO
bought Ṁ15 of NO

@SirCryptomind he isn't actively using manifold though? He used it one time a long while ago to make an account and then for 1 week in June.

bought Ṁ11 of YES

@RobertCousineau Still a chance he becomes active before year ends. Kind of left the comment there as a note for myself to check on easily.

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind that makes sense. I'm just confused why this got bet up so high.

sold Ṁ2 of YES

@RobertCousineau New users it looks like and it was on the main Home page today a few times.

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