At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?
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resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES

As of market creation it's in the lead by a 4x margin over the next highest contender.

https://manifold.markets/charity

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predictedYES

Down to a 1.5x margin!

Wondering if this might resolve by March 1 or if it'll wait to see if the charity program ever comes back

predictedNO

@PatMyron It's reasonably likely to come back:

@jack thanks for the link, hard to surmise how much of that market percent is from the charity program vs from merch though

predictedYES

@PatMyron I'll wait until the end of the year just in case.

all it takes to NO this is one manifold employee donating to balsa

predictedNO

Current top 3 charities:

The gap is down to 2.8x.

entirely possible that the Destiny crowd begins to outearn the altruistic nerd crowd

@a Yeah, but will they donate their earnings?

At the end of 2023, will Givewell still be the top recipient from Manifold for Charity?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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