Are self-replicating nanobots possible?
18
370Ṁ3217
resolved Apr 13
Resolved
YES

Market resolves once our knowledge of physics and engineering is sufficent to have a definitive answer to the question.

Must be capable of self-replication in a large number of common environments, not just specialized ones. Must be at most 100nm in any dimension.

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Ok, here's a better market on what I'm trying to ask:

Actually I think this market is just bad. I'm gonna resolve it to YES and give Michael a manalink for botlab.

@MichaelWheatley @Botlab https://manifold.markets/link/XPypDGnv

Related:

why don't bacteria count as a yes already

@jacksonpolack Not "bots".

predictedYES

what's the maximum width? 999 nanometres?

@JamesSully That's more of a microbot. Let's say they have to be no longer than 100nm in any direction.

Cells exist, and are understood adequately well from physical principles, so this should resolve as YES already.

@adele Too big and not bots.

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