Will a federal annual fee on electric vehicles be signed into law by December 31, 2027?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ352027
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, legislation is enacted (signed by the President, or becoming law without signature or by veto override) that imposes a recurring, flat, per-vehicle federal fee on owners of battery-electric vehicles, collected through state vehicle registration or a similar mechanism. The fee does not need to take effect before the deadline. A fee on plug-in hybrids alone does not count. Mileage-based or per-kWh charges do not count. Resolves NO otherwise.
See the BUILD America 250 bill for some context on what such a fee might look like, if implemented.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 NO
Betting NO as it’s too depressing to contemplate!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will NHTSA publish a final rule removing the foot-brake requirement (FMVSS 135) for driverless vehicles by Sep 30, 2027?
37% chance
Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026?
22% chance
Will the federal gas tax be suspended before 2027?
13% chance
🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️
6% chance
Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on December 31, 2026?
69% chance
Will a sixth state in the USA enact clean fuel standards by EOY 2027?
60% chance
Will there be more EV charging stations installed in the US in 2025+2026 than 2023+2024?
67% chance
Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will the US DOE FEOC graphite waiver (IRA $7,500 EV credit) be active on June 30, 2027?
16% chance
Will any USA State pass a law banning the sale of non-hybrid Gas Powered cars to average consumers by the end of 2030?
47% chance