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MANIFOLD
Will a federal annual fee on electric vehicles be signed into law by December 31, 2027?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ35
2027
40%
chance

Resolves YES if by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, legislation is enacted (signed by the President, or becoming law without signature or by veto override) that imposes a recurring, flat, per-vehicle federal fee on owners of battery-electric vehicles, collected through state vehicle registration or a similar mechanism. The fee does not need to take effect before the deadline. A fee on plug-in hybrids alone does not count. Mileage-based or per-kWh charges do not count. Resolves NO otherwise.

See the BUILD America 250 bill for some context on what such a fee might look like, if implemented.

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bought Ṁ20 NO

Betting NO as it’s too depressing to contemplate!