Russia-NATO war vs. Putin president
9
235Ṁ1972035
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
55%
No war before 1.1.2035
41%
War, Putin president of Russia
3%
War, Putin not president of Russia
War: Armed conflict with more than 1000 dead. Does not have to be declared, or reported as war.
NATO: NATO members at the moment of the conflict start.
Putin: It will be decisive whether he is president at the start of the war.
I will use my best guess in assessing whether there has been more than 1000 dead. I will not bet on the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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