Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 30 seats in the House of Commons in the next UK general election?
29
128
510
2025
56%
chance
  1. The market will resolve to "Yes" if the Liberal Democrats win more than 30 seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK general election.

  2. The market will resolve to "No" if the Liberal Democrats win 30 seats or fewer.

  3. The outcome should be based on the official election results as declared by the UK Electoral Commission.

  4. The market will resolve after the official results are announced and will not change in case of any subsequent by-elections, defections, or changes in party affiliation of the elected MPs.

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