Core Resolution Criteria

1. Primary Attribution Rule

   The market resolves to the organization that developed the AI system that is most causally responsible for the extinction event.

2. Successor / Self-Improvement Clause

   If the decisive system is:

   • autonomously derived,

   • self-improved,

   • or created by another AI,

   then attribution goes to the organization that created the last human-designed system in the causal chain that enabled this outcome.

3. Multi-Agent Scenario

   If multiple AI systems jointly cause extinction:

   • Resolve to all organizations whose systems were necessary contributors.

4. Forking / Derivatives

   If a system is derived from an earlier model:

   • Attribution goes to the organization responsible for the final system that materially enabled extinction, not necessarily the original base model.

5. Human Use vs Autonomous Action

   If AI is used as a tool by humans:

   • Attribution still goes to the organization that built the AI system (not the end user), unless the AI played only a trivial role.

• Update 2026-04-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Multiple answers can resolve YES in this market.