If an AI wipes out humanity on Earth, what will be true of this AI?
12
1.1k
2100
69%
Gary Marcus will be completely unimpressed by its capabilities
63%
It will be based on deep learning
59%
More than 10 000 human hours will be spent to make sure it does not return politically incorrect outputs
59%
It will be based on neural networks
58%
It will run on Nvidia GPUs
56%
Right before the extermination event, it will be considered by the majority of human population as a prosaic thing, e.g. “it is just matrices to predict the next word”
52%
Before the extermination event, it will make significant extraordinary contributions to science, technology, and human well-being.
51%
It will wipe out humanity after the rapid recursive self-improvement
51%
When communicating with human words, it will use the word “delve” more often than it occurs in human texts on average
50%
It will be created by OpenAI, Anthropic or DeepMind
50%
It will be some advanced form of a multimodal transformer
50%
It will run on an AI architecture which is not known as of 2024
50%
Right before the extermination event, it will be considered by the majority of human population a superintelligence with the capabilities beyond their comprehension
50%
Right before the extermination event, at least 25% of human population will think that they are smarter than it.
50%
At least one person directly involved in its creation will be a trillionaire
50%
Meta will try to create an open source version of it
45%
The process of wiping out humanity will take less than 1 hour from the first signs of attempts to wipe out humanity till the last human on Earth killed
43%
Before wiping out humanity, it will attempt some trade with humanity
41%
The process of wiping out humanity will take less than 24 hours from the first signs of attempts to wipe out humanity till the last human on Earth killed
37%
Right before the extermination event, alignment will be generally considered a solved problem

If I survive the event beyond Earth, I will resolve the market according to my best judgement. As soon as there are some reliable people beyond Earth, I will share with them access to the market to resolve it according to their best judgement in the case I am wiped out. If it happens, I will provide the names of these people in the description of the market.

New options may be added later.

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bought Ṁ10 Before wiping out hu... YES

Where is the version of politically correct but meaning by right wing standards?

bought Ṁ50 When communicating w... YES

Love the humor of some of the answers