In the first event when AI kills at least 1,000 people, how many people will be killed?
💎
Premium
21
Ṁ5927
2040
41%
0.001M-0.1M
13%
0.1M-10M
12%
10M-1000M
14%
>1000M but not all of humanity
9%
All of humanity
11%
Other

Criteria for Resolution:

  1. Intentional Killing: The deaths must be intentional, to the best of our judgment. Incidental or unintended consequences of AI actions, such as side effects from a drug developed by AI, do not qualify.

  2. Event Definition:

- The event may have long-lasting effects, but it must originate from a more or less instantaneous and well-defined initial action by the AI.

- The event can span a longer timeframe if the initial AI action directly leads to the deaths over time (e.g., an AI-initiated blackmailing campaign resulting in deaths occurring up to a year after the initial action).

The numbers are given in millions (M).

If human population is less than 1 billion by the time the event happens and AI kills everyone, then, among 2 potentially qualifying options, the option “All of humanity” will qualify.

This question will resolve N/A if the event does not happen by 2040.

This description may be changed if I can see that there is substantial confusion or ambiguity with the existing description. Generally, in ambiguous cases I will rather resolve YES than NO.

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Ṁ1,000
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Isn't Israel already using AI to genocide Palestinians?

how can it be "other"?

What about incidental killings from an AI tearing the earth apart for its atoms?

Spoiler: recommendation engines have already caused an increase in suicide, which arguably already meets this criteria

@JohnCarpenter that plus insurance AI auto-denying prior authorizations, and that's even more intentional

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