Will any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ75Dec 31
32%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Austin LessWrong have a near-gender-balanced meetup in 2026?
57% chance
Will @Austin ever be a billionaire?
5% chance
Will Austin Chen be a millionaire by 2028?
75% chance
Will Austin LessWrong will ban someone in 2026?
19% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2026? *
95% chance
Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026?
2% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
97% chance
Will LessWrong still be meaningfully active in 2030? *
86% chance
Will a person who's first EA conference is EAGxBerkeley 2022 achieve a net worth of $1 Billion within 10 years?
7% chance
Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end?
26% chance