Tracking predictions from the podcast Oh No, Ross and Carrie! episode 399. Transcript available at https://maximumfun.org/transcripts/oh-no-ross-and-carrie/transcript-oh-no-ross-and-carrie-ep-399-ross-carrie-and-psychics-predict-2024-cancer-cures-and-election-edition/

Carrie Poppy: I guess the royals are not celebrities. “The US will have their first female president.” Okay. Specific. Good.

Ross Blocher: Uh-oh, Does that mean Nikki Haley? Mm.

Carrie Poppy: Well, at least that would be confirmatory.

Ross Blocher: Oh, I guess it could also be like the other predictor was saying that Kamala Harris will take over. So. Okay.

I will resolve according to their evaluation in 2025 ("No" for a zero on their scale, "N/A" for one, and "Yes" for two)

With the podcast ending, I can no longer simply defer to the host's judgements for the resolution. Please vote in this poll if you have thoughts on how I should resolve these markets:

Resolution criteria if "best judgement" wins the poll:

YES if:

• Kamala Harris wins the 2024 presidential election, or

• Kamala Harris becomes president via the operation of the 25th amendment during 2024, or

• any other woman wins the 2024 presidential election or becomes president during 2024

  • for example, via electoral college shenanigans

NO if no woman wins the 2024 presidential election, nor becomes president during 2024