If anyone on the waitlist actually receives a Slate auto vehicle by the end of 2026, than yes.

Resolution criteria

Slate Auto aims to begin deliveries in Q4 2026. This market resolves YES if at least one customer on the waitlist receives a Slate vehicle by December 31, 2026. Resolution will be verified through official Slate Auto announcements, press releases, or credible automotive news sources confirming customer deliveries have occurred. The market resolves NO if no vehicles are delivered to waitlist customers by the end of 2026.

Background

Slate Auto is an American startup company founded in 2022 and based in Troy, Michigan. Its investors include Jeff Bezos, Mark Walter, and Re:Build Manufacturing. The company has collected more than 150,000 refundable reservations for its low-cost EV due out at the end of 2026. The company intends to produce up to 150,000 electric pickups annually at its Indianapolis plant. Slate's first several hundred employees include many with experience at Ford, General Motors, Stellantis, and Harley-Davidson.

Considerations

EV companies have touted reservation figures only to go bust, either because they weren't able to get through the difficult process of standing up production, or because they weren't ready to have cars on the road. The company won't start building the truck until the end of 2026 at the earliest, leaving minimal margin for error to achieve Q4 2026 deliveries. Demolition isn't fully complete, but the components of future manufacturing have already started to arrive in Warsaw, indicating ongoing facility preparation as of mid-2025.