This market predicts whether the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note will exceed 5% by June 30, 2025. As of April 17, 2025, the yield is approximately 4.38%. Recent forecasts suggest a decline to around 4.21% by June 2025. Source: Reuters.

If the yield of the US 10-Year T-Bond is greater than 5.000% at any time between between December 28, 2024 and market close on June 30 2025, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be investing.com's reporting found at https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield-historical-data. The resolution will be based on the values listed in the column labelled “High” in rows titled by dates within this market's timeframe.