I will wait about 3 days after the question is resolved, so there is ample chance for everyone to rate the question.

https://manifold.markets/PeterNjeim/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-f13eee1bee08?r=SGlsbGFyeUNsaW50b24

Snapshot before resolution:

Current Rating Page:

https://manifold.markets/PeterNjeim?tab=questions

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to the resolution rating assigned to @PeterNjeim after he resolves his "Canada Election Market." The resolution rating is a measure of a market creator's accuracy and reliability in resolving markets on Manifold. It is calculated based on the correctness and timeliness of their market resolutions. The rating is typically displayed on the user's profile page. If the "Canada Election Market" is not resolved by @PeterNjeim, this market will resolve as N/A.

Background:

@PeterNjeim is the creator of the "Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?" market on Manifold. (manifold.markets) This market has garnered significant attention and participation from the community. The resolution rating reflects a creator's track record in accurately resolving markets, which is crucial for maintaining trust and credibility within the prediction market platform.

• Update 2025-05-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the Overall resolution rating displayed on the profile is exactly 4.00 Stars, the creator will use the "Unweighted Average" rating as the tiebreaker to determine the final resolution value.

• Update 2025-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the final resolution rating for @PeterNjeim is below 1 star, the creator will resolve this market to 1-2 Stars. This is based on the creator's statement that they were previously unaware a rating below 1 star was possible.

• Update 2025-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there is considerable controversy regarding the resolution, the creator may open the resolution to a vote.

The creator is currently heavily leaning towards resolving according to their prior statement (summarized in the update from 2025-05-04) as the fairest option.