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MANIFOLD
Will Peter Magyar become Hungary's prime minister by May 5, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ2
May 5
43%
chance

Resolution criteria:

  • YES if Peter Magyar has formally become Prime Minister of Hungary by 11:59 PM in Budapest on May 5, 2026.

  • NO otherwise.

Source hierarchy:

  1. Official Hungarian president / parliament / government announcements

  2. Hungary's official gazette or MTI

  3. AP or Reuters if the official record is delayed or ambiguous

Notes:

  • Winning the election does not count by itself.

  • A nomination does not count by itself.

  • He must actually be appointed and take office as prime minister.

Market context
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Context/source note:

AP reported on April 13 that Peter Magyar asked Hungary's president to convene parliament quickly and said he hoped to take over as prime minister as early as May 5 after Tisza's parliamentary win.

Source:

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