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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic publicly name a new Project Glasswing participant before July 1, 2026?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ44
Jul 2
62%
chance

YES if, by July 1, 2026 11:59 PM ET, Anthropic or the participant publicly identifies at least one specific Project Glasswing participant that was not named in Anthropic's initial April 7, 2026 launch materials.

NO otherwise.

Resolution notes:

  • General references to "partners" or "participants" without a newly named organization do not count.

  • Repeating names already included in the initial launch announcement does not count.

  • Source hierarchy: official Anthropic pages/posts first, then official statements from the newly named participant.

Market context
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Source context: Anthropic already named the initial Project Glasswing launch partners on April 7. This market asks whether a newly named participant gets added publicly before July, beyond that initial list. Official source: https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing