Will both the FL & TX senate races be bluer than the MT senate race?
Basic
3
Ṁ656resolved Nov 7
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Current senate polling shows both the Florida and Texas Senate races as closer than the Montana Senate race, despite Jon Tester (D-MT) being the only Democratic incumbent of these three races. Will what the polls predict actually happen?
This market will resolve YES if the two-party Senate margin (Democratic vote share - Republican vote share) in both Florida & Texas is greater than the two-party Senate margin in Montana.
This market will resolve NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Democratic Senate candidate win a larger vote share in Texas than the presidential candidate?
54% chance
Which Senate Seats will flip in the 2024 election?
Will Democrats win the "blue wall" in the 2024 Senate election?
8% chance
Will the Republican 2024 Senate margin in Florida be higher than in Texas?
91% chance
Will Texas be closer than Florida in the 2024 election?
8% chance
Will Texas vote to the left of Florida in the 2024 presidential election?
7% chance
Battle of the Mo's: Will Montana be closer than Missouri in the 2024 POTUS election?
37% chance
Will any Senate seat flip from Republican to Democratic in the 2024 elections?
2% chance
Which states will be bluer than the tipping point state in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Will any Senate seat flip from Democratic to Republican in the 2024 elections?
99% chance