Battle of the Mo's: Will Montana be closer than Missouri in the 2024 POTUS election? | Manifold

Battle of the Mo's: Will Montana be closer than Missouri in the 2024 POTUS election?

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Montana is the state whose name starts with "Mo". Missouri is the state whose postal code is MO. Which will be closer in 2024?

In 2020, their margins were similar, with Trump winning Missouri by 15.4% and Montana by 16.4%. But Montana seems like it may be shifting slightly to the left, while Missouri has shifted to the right, so MT may be the closer of the two next time around.

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#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Election margins

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Silver Bulletin polling averages have Montana at R+16.7 and Missouri at R+11.4.

This one's hard, Montana has always been right of Missouri in the past but they've been trending opposite directions and the gap in 2020 wasn't huge.

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