Will X / Twitter become inaccessible in Europe during 2025?
Basic
19
Ṁ1146
2026
15%
chance

Will resolve to YES if the social network X, formerly known as Twitter, becomes inaccessible from European Union states because of a court order or a deliberate decision by the company.

Resolve to NO if that does not happen between 01.01.2025 and 31.12.2025

Clarifications:

  • If the application is inaccessible from a couple of EU countries it does not count, it has to be the entire EU or the vast majority of it.

  • If the application becomes inaccessible from the whole world due to a decision or a legal action (e.g. bankruptcy) it does count.

  • Inaccessibility due to technical issues does not count.

  • If it happens in 2024 this won't resolve NO, it is still possible that the decision is flipped and happens again in 2025.

H/t to @0482 for creating the original 2024 market and (my slightly modified) criteria.

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I propose Musk's Law: If you tell someone 'fuck off', you don't get to sue them for fucking off.

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