Will Twitter/X be unblocked in China before 2026?
10
130Ṁ8367 hours ago
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a regular Chinese user in China can access Twitter or X without having to do any extra work like install a VPN or get permission.
As long as Twitter is left unblocked for 24 hours, this market resolves YES.
I'd expect that this becomes a major news article if it happens. If it's unblocked, please post a link in the comments as proof and ask me/a moderator to resolve this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will over 1 million Chinese citizens be able to legally access twitter, youtube, and wikipedia at the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will Twitter be an open distributed system before 2026?
1% chance
Will X / Twitter become inaccessible in Europe during 2025?
12% chance
Will TikTok get banned in any country before 2026?
16% chance
Will China unban Google in 2025?
2% chance
Will truth social links be blocked on twitter at any point in 2025?
3% chance
At the end of 2025, will TikTok be banned in more countries than Twitter (X) and Telegram combined?
24% chance
Will X (fka Twitter) be sued by the US government for refusing to remove content by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will the US government ban Rednote / Xiaohongshu by 2026?
6% chance
Will Twitter (X) shut down before 2027
9% chance