Split in the EA Forum Donation Election 2023?
Basic
11
Ṁ13kresolved Dec 25
Resolved
37%Rethink Priorities
Resolved
33%Charity Entrepreneurship
Resolved
30%Animal Welfare Fund (EA Funds)
Resolved
NOEffective Altruism Infrastructure Fund (EA Funds)
Resolved
NOLong-term future fund (EA funds)
Resolved
NOAgainst Malaria Foundation
Resolved
NOThe Humane League
Resolved
NOGiveWell
This market will resolve to the % split of funds donated from the 2023 Donation Election Fund to each chosen charity. Resolves per official announcement.
Note their footnote that:
"The funds will be split proportionally between the top 3 winners, based on how many votes they got."
I may bet in this market, but expect to recuse myself if people ask me to.
Try to not add charities that are already listed with some other name, I'll do some moderation (if I can?) to avoid doubles.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
resolves 36.9%/32.6%/30.6% for RP/CE/AWF:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RWAZ7sH9voGyTQ1-nu9_QjrpVmchGyYGDnytHaVxVQg/edit#gid=0
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$1M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?
30% chance
The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.
56% chance
Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$10M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?
14% chance
Will any living self-identified EA donate an eye by 2030?
23% chance
Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
49% chance
Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?
10% chance
Will OpenPhil think it's better to spend mana creating EA prediction markets at $1 rather than donate it to EA LTFF?
41% chance
If no other big events happen and there is a big inter-community listening exercise, will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?
12% chance
Will any individual reach a total of $1 billion donated to EA aligned charities by the end of 2026?
90% chance