House of the Dragon Season 2 [Prop bets/Megamarket]
18
1kṀ5440
resolved Sep 30
Resolved
NO
Something from the season wins an Emmy award
Resolved
YES
Average episode rating ≥7.0 on IMDB at end of Q3 2024
Resolved
YES
Average episode rating ≥7.5 on IMDB at end of Q3 2024
Resolved
NO
Average episode rating ≥8.0 on IMDB at end of Q3 2024
Resolved
YES
Something from the season nominated for an Emmy
Resolved
NO
Season 4 confirmed before last episode of S02 has been shown
Resolved
YES
Hits Top 40 of Most popular TV-shows on IMDB before EOY 2024
Resolved
NO
Events taking place in the timeframe of the first season are shown on screen
Resolved
NO
Events taking place before the first season are shown on screen
Resolved
YES
Somebody says "Fuck" or "Fucking"
Resolved
YES
Flaccid penis on screen
Resolved
YES
Hits #1 Most popular TV-shows on IMDB before EOY 2024
Resolved
NO
Major controversy arises regarding one of the main (~top 10) actors before last episode shown
Resolved
YES
Golden Globe nomination
Resolved
NO
5 articles from (has Wiki page) news/reviewers that scenes are too dark

I reserve the right to remove, N/A, and/or clarify descriptions, as I see fit.

I expect this market to not be high stakes, and might bet in it even though I will be the one ultimately resolving questions. Bet at your own risk, although I will of course try to be fair and objective. (Will indeed try to ask for good resolution criteria for answers submitted by others!)

See also this other market which more talks about the actual content of episodes, while I consider this market broader.

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bought Ṁ200 YES
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@HenriThunberg resolves YES (For actress)

bought Ṁ35 NO

Planning to resolve a few of these unless there are objections
– (2x) The show is currently #1 on IMDB for TV-shows
– Season 4 was announced a few hours after the last episode was released
– Articles seems to emphasize that indeed the darkness problem has been fixed, resolves to NO
– (2x) Even in Daemon's vision, I couldn't see any events that took place in Season 1 of HotD or before that (however, lots from the future). There have been plenty of dreams and stuff with characters from the past, but no exact depictions of actual events, rather than imagination. Resolves to NO unless anyone objects.

Flaccid 🍆 on screen ep 3

you can resolve this lol

I'll watch it within the week and resolve when I see it :)

lol please resolve this I need to stop seeing “flaccid penis” on my open positions everyday 😭

What's the spoiler policy? I read the book.

@Joshua I tried keeping questions to things that typically wouldn't be (necessarily, depending on artistic choices) spoiled by reading the books. Maybe let's keep it that way, also seems more interesting market wise?

@HenriThunberg Sounds good to me.

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