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MANIFOLD
Next Star Wars mainline film (Episode X?) ๐Ÿช๐Ÿ‘พ [Megamarket/Prop bets]
30
แน€2kแน€1.7k
2030
95%
Is marketed as Episode X
85%
Red lightsaber on screen
84%
Will be announced before 2028
83%
Blue lightsaber on screen
79%
Green lightsaber on screen
72%
The "Millennium Falcon" is on screen or mentioned
66%
Trailer out before 2028 (teaser counts)
65%
New droid companion
65%
"Darth Sidious" or "Palpatine" is mentioned
64%
A character is a Skywalker (by blood, name does not matter)
59%
Is defined as part of a trilogy, before its premier date
56%
Tie fighters on screen
54%
"Darth Vader" is mentioned
53%
A dead character has spoken lines
51%
A dead person appears as something like a ~spirit
50%
Oscar Isaac returns in his previous role
50%
Strong, quasi-masculine-presenting female lead character
50%
Movie contains reference to upcoming movie (e.g. "to be continued")
46%
Digital version of dead actor plays a role
45%
Any actor from the original trilogy plays the same role

Refers to the next mainline Star Wars movie (best bet for choice of movie here is that it gets numbered as an episode, but I am open to other similarly helpful interpretations). Will change the name of the market when we know more. The upcoming Daisy Ridley movie seems the most likely candidate, from what I understand, since it builds on the protagonist of the movies VII-IX.

To make action happen a bit earlier where possible, I will allow resolution by trailer where applicable. I.e. even if something is on screen for a trailer, but doesn't make it into the movie, it can resolve YES.

I will not trade in this market, to make resolutions easier.
Please check market before adding duplicates.
I reserve the right to remove, N/A, and/or clarify descriptions, as I see fit. Will generally try to ask whoever proposed the question first.

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reposted

Just upgraded this market, since there's some movement in rumors. Lots of fun stuff to bet on!

https://www.screendaily.com/news/simon-kinberg-developing-new-star-wars-trilogy-reports/5199001.article

@suzumebatchi sorry, I'll N/A this one. Too vague (any character? Named character? Lead?), and too subjective.

Changed from ambiguous "person" to "character".

Does this mean (A) overlapping with a specific movie's events, or (B) overlapping [anywhere in the span of time between episode I and IX]?

@PaintspotInfez thanks for question, I mean B. Phrased poorly though, I might give it a better title with this same meaning.

Nice additions @Nikos! ๐Ÿ‘