• All these predictions are taken from Forbes/Rob Toews' "10 AI Predictions For 2025".

• For the 2024 predictions you can find them here, and their resolution here.

• You can find all the markets under the tag [2025 Forbes AI predictions].

• Note that I will resolve to whatever Forbes/Rob Toews say in their resolution article for 2025's predictions, even if I or others disagree with his decision.

• I might bet in this market, as I have no power over the resolution.

Description of this prediction from the article:
Autonomous vehicles have endured years of premature hype and unfulfilled promise. For nearly a decade, this technology has seemed right around the corner but not quite ready for primetime.

This changed dramatically in 2024. Driverless Waymos are now ubiquitous on the streets of San Francisco, with thousands of residents taking Waymos to get around the city every day the way they used to take taxis or Ubers.

Since its launch in August 2023, Waymo has grown to an incredible 22% of the ride-hailing market in San Francisco today, giving it the same market share as Lyft. (Uber is at 55%.)

These figures will likely amaze readers who have not been in San Francisco in recent months. In the blink of an eye, robotaxis have gone from a research project to a large business.

The next step: robotaxis’ rapid rollout will expand beyond the Bay Area, becoming an important part of the transportation system in several U.S. cities. This will happen faster than most people appreciate. By the end of next year, expect to see robotaxi services like Waymo win double-digit market share in at least five major markets.

After San Francisco, which cities are most likely next?

Waymo has already launched robotaxi operations in Los Angeles and in Phoenix; expect adoption to take off in those markets next year. Austin, Atlanta and Miami will soon follow for Waymo. Meanwhile, Waymo competitor Zoox is poised to launch its own commercial robotaxi service in Las Vegas.

In 2025, after years of hype, autonomous vehicles will finally go mainstream.