A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026
9
Ṁ1kṀ4252027
60%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
33% chance
Will Tesla's first robotaxi fare be sold by the end of 2026?
97% chance
How many Waymo robotaxis deployed at the end of 2026?
Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027
40% chance
In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?
How many Waymo rides per week at end of 2026?
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
Will Tesla have a operational Robotaxi that they are announcing on 8/8 operation in the US, by the end of 2026?
90% chance
How many Waymo robotaxis at the end of 2027?
Who will have the highest number of robotaxis by 2029?