What organization(s) will be ranked #1 in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of December 2024?
50
1.2kṀ25kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
YESOpenAI
Resolved
YESAlphabet (Google)
Resolved
NOAnthropic
Resolved
NOMistral
Resolved
NOxAI
Resolved
NOMeta
I'm referring to this Chatbot Arena Leaderboard.
More than one organization can be ranked # 1.
Related:
Previous quarter: /HankyUSA/what-organizations-will-be-ranked-1-38f6280ae471
ELO score version: /HankyUSA/who-will-own-the-model-at-the-top-o-d77499f472d2
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ973 | |
| 2 | Ṁ603 | |
| 3 | Ṁ402 | |
| 4 | Ṁ312 | |
| 5 | Ṁ294 |
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 YES
Bullish on xAI after Grok-2, their massive compute farm, and the talent they've poached. Grok-2 is already ahead of 3.5 Sonnet so only GDM and OpenAI have higher ranked models on lmsys
Related questions
Related questions
Which LLM will have the highest ELO at the end of 2025 on ChatBot Arena?
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will China have a model in the top 10 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena on March 1, 2025?
98% chance
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
15% chance
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
20% chance
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena in 2025?
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
40% chance