
Will there be a so-called "nuclear Saudi Arabia" by 2050?
8
150Ṁ2842050
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if there is a country that becomes a significant exporter of nuclear energy by 2050, akin to Saudi Arabia's current role as a major exporter of oil.
This threshold will be defined as either (1) a country that exports at least three times its own annual electricity usage as nuclear power or (2) a country that exports more that the total electricity usage of France (for some given year) as nuclear-generated electricity.
Edit: Includes both fission and fusion-generated power.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
USA and Saudi Arabia announce joint nuclear deal in 2025?
18% chance
Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?
19% chance
Will Saudi Arabia obtain nuclear weapon(s) by 2035?
39% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
24% chance
Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2032?
28% chance
Will there be a civil war in Saudi Arabia with more than 100 000 deaths before 2050?
19% chance
Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
8% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
12% chance
In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
68% chance
Will there be a Tesla factory in Saudi Arabia before 2030?
12% chance