What will happen first in Iran?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ7892027
US or Israel attacks Iran80%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?
33% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
35% chance
What will happen relating to Iran before April 1, 2026?
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
61% chance
If Khamenei is forcibly removed from power, will the Islamic regime survive?
36% chance
State of Iran in 2030
When will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?
Will Iranian protest successfully over Ali Khamenei's term before 1st march
16% chance
When will the Iranian protests end?
4/29/26
Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2025?
95% chance