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Wait what did I miss? If the election is in October or November (as this other market predicts), why would he announce it so far in advance? Don’t prime ministers usually announce it shortly before the election itself?

https://manifold.markets/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-month-in-6ab8406103dd

@BonjTwo Nadine Dorries and Twitter user RussInCheshire are saying this is the plan. They’re not usually fonts of useful info so I’m buying NO.

@Noit She thinks there's a 50% chance of it being called by next week... I wish she'd sign up to Manifold and put her money where her mouth is!

Having a quick look down RussInCheshire's feed, he seems to be more trustworthy than Nadine Dorries. But that's saying literally nothing.

@SimonGrayson Indeed. Just don’t look at his sex blog