Will Donald Trump become the first dictator of the United States before 2030?
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I will let the market decide about resolution. If it trades for more than for 4 weeks at 1%, resolution will be NO. If it trades for more than 4 weeks at 99%, resolution will be YES.
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Here's an adjacent market:
https://manifold.markets/costlySignal/conditional-on-trump-assuming-the-p?r=Y29zdGx5U2lnbmFs
@BrunoParga I guess it would resolve based on how many traders are from the US and forced to buy NO then.
@DavidDavidson "I will let the market decide about resolution. If it trades for more than for 4 weeks below 1%, resolution will be NO. If it trades for more than 4 weeks above 99%, resolution will be YES."
a bit weird as it opens up for manipulation - but that's the resolution criteria.
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