
Will there be any industrial or commercial uses of the Photomolecular effect by 2035?
Will there be any industrial or commercial uses of the Photomolecular effect by 2035?
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100Ṁ1102035
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I've seen the Photomolecular effect reported on a few times lately
The original paper is here: https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.19832
Seems like it'd be a useful effect on the face of it, but it's all just hype at the moment, & not a lot to back it up that I can find
So I'm curious if this will be implemented in any way outside of a lab setting
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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