Will there be any industrial or commercial uses of the Photomolecular effect by 2035?
4
100Ṁ1102035
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I've seen the Photomolecular effect reported on a few times lately
The original paper is here: https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.19832
Seems like it'd be a useful effect on the face of it, but it's all just hype at the moment, & not a lot to back it up that I can find
So I'm curious if this will be implemented in any way outside of a lab setting
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?
82% chance
Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
25% chance
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
28% chance
Will there be a significant breakthrough in nuclear fusion technology by the end of 2030?
75% chance
Will LK-99 be used in any commercial application before 2030?
10% chance
Will there be a fusion reactor generating electricity commercially by the end of 2035?
31% chance
Which one will become commercially viable first by the year 2074?
Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?
20% chance
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2050?
64% chance
Will we see any commercial solar cells with an efficiency >30% by the end of 2024?
9% chance