Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?
35
157
แน1.7Kแน720
2033
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As proposed by Patrick McKenzie (https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1575472752298930176), this resolves to YES if either far-UVC or other similar technology has a similar prevalence to smoke-free air, or is otherwise a legal requirement for commercial spaces in places 75% or more of Americans live, in the United States by 1 January 2033.
Get แน200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
34% chance
Will humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2030? ($1k mana subsidy)
40% chance
Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?
40% chance
Will there be a new USB standard connector by 2033?
58% chance
Will AR/VR headset use be ubiquitous on commercial airlines by 2030?
49% chance
Will fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
30% chance
Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
73% chance
Will there be an orbital laser before 2035?
26% chance
Will Brain-Computer interfaces be widespread by 2035?
41% chance
Will VR/AR be a part of everyday life by 2030?
44% chance