Will far-UVC or a successor technology be ubiquitous by 2033?
34
143
Ṁ1.7KṀ700
2033
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ1
Ṁ10
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ55 +455.7%
New probability
18%
As proposed by Patrick McKenzie (https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1575472752298930176), this resolves to YES if either far-UVC or other similar technology has a similar prevalence to smoke-free air, or is otherwise a legal requirement for commercial spaces in places 75% or more of Americans live, in the United States by 1 January 2033.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money