Will more than 48% of positions be YES?
35
590Ṁ19k
resolved May 26
Resolved
NO

At close.

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Welp... I've learned an important lesson today.

predictedNO

@MayMeta next time I'll HODL

@MayMeta Yeah this is a common way to lose a lot of mana :(. Be very aware of price slippage when making large buys and sells!

predictedNO

@jack thx, that's my first time experiencing this level of slippage.

Although in my defense seeing the number of YES positions going up so rapidly I was genuinely scared to lose my entire bet, and I was trying to save at least half of it. I was successfully spooked!

Lost 1.9k mana on this one, although I won 0.9k on the other markets in this series, which is better than nothing, I guess

i'll pay 50 mana to anyone who joins YES

predictedYES

@DeadRhino (if YES wins)

@DeadRhino well that was fun

predictedNO

So many people online right now, we can pull this switch to YES off!

punish those last minute whales

another market

switch to yes?

@higherLEVELING nah, too many people are inactive at this time

@SavioMak its pretty close right now tho 42% here

predictedYES

@SavioMak u would make it 47

predictedNO

@higherLEVELING no? how are you counting that? it is 9 vs 21 right now

predictedYES

@SavioMak isnt it 9/21 which is 42%

predictedYES

@higherLEVELING im so dumb lol NVM

predictedNO

no sniping at market close for this batch of market, kind of disappointed tbh

10 yes 18 no 24%, 4 to defect more likely at that new low price?

predictedYES

11 yes 17 no 38% chance. So can we find 3 defectors or 6 new bidders or some combination? Post defect or new below if you are willing to do so if it appears enough others are willing to do so. Optional whether you indicate likely requirements for joining and/or when.

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