Will more than 48% of positions be YES?
35
528
590
resolved May 26
Resolved
NO

At close.

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bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

Welp... I've learned an important lesson today.

predicted NO

@MayMeta next time I'll HODL

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@MayMeta Yeah this is a common way to lose a lot of mana :(. Be very aware of price slippage when making large buys and sells!

predicted NO

@jack thx, that's my first time experiencing this level of slippage.

Although in my defense seeing the number of YES positions going up so rapidly I was genuinely scared to lose my entire bet, and I was trying to save at least half of it. I was successfully spooked!

Lost 1.9k mana on this one, although I won 0.9k on the other markets in this series, which is better than nothing, I guess

bought Ṁ10 of YES

i'll pay 50 mana to anyone who joins YES

predicted YES

@DeadRhino (if YES wins)

bought Ṁ500 of NO

@DeadRhino well that was fun

bought Ṁ10 of YES
predicted NO

So many people online right now, we can pull this switch to YES off!

bought Ṁ2 of YES

punish those last minute whales

bought Ṁ500 of NO

another market

bought Ṁ15 of YES

switch to yes?

bought Ṁ150 of NO

@higherLEVELING nah, too many people are inactive at this time

bought Ṁ5 of YES

@SavioMak its pretty close right now tho 42% here

predicted YES

@SavioMak u would make it 47

predicted NO

@higherLEVELING no? how are you counting that? it is 9 vs 21 right now

predicted YES

@SavioMak isnt it 9/21 which is 42%

predicted YES

@higherLEVELING im so dumb lol NVM

predicted NO

no sniping at market close for this batch of market, kind of disappointed tbh

10 yes 18 no 24%, 4 to defect more likely at that new low price?

predicted YES

11 yes 17 no 38% chance. So can we find 3 defectors or 6 new bidders or some combination? Post defect or new below if you are willing to do so if it appears enough others are willing to do so. Optional whether you indicate likely requirements for joining and/or when.