2
Will Bitcoin reach $10k before it reaches $100k?
64
closes 2050
52%
chance

Resolves based on majority of any 24-hour trading window below $10k or above $100k

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nic_kup avatar
nicbought Ṁ10 of YES

Buying more cheap YES

nic_kup avatar
nicis predicting YES at 63%
nic_kup avatar
nicbought Ṁ50 of YES

Surprised to see no movement after FTX

BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Baileyis predicting YES at 64%

I almost got wrecked by confusing the YES and NO sides of this market.

BoltonBailey avatar
Bolton Baileybought Ṁ30 of NO

If it were an unbiased Black-Scholes walk it would be about 72%.

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