Will Bitcoin reach $10k before it reaches $100k? | Manifold Markets

2

Will Bitcoin reach $10k before it reaches $100k?

64

closes 2050

52%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves based on majority of any 24-hour trading window below $10k or above $100k

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nicbought Ṁ10 of YES

Buying more cheap YES

nicis predicting YES at 63%

nicbought Ṁ50 of YES

Surprised to see no movement after FTX

Bolton Baileyis predicting YES at 64%

I almost got wrecked by confusing the YES and NO sides of this market.

Bolton Baileybought Ṁ30 of NO

If it were an unbiased Black-Scholes walk it would be about 72%.

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Brian T. Edwards

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