Will Bing gain share? | Manifold

Will Bing gain share?

25

77

Ṁ1.2K

Ṁ490

2025

34%

chance

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Double by 2025.

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bought Ṁ35 of NO

The new Bing has failed to take any market share from Google after six months

I tried using Bing as the default in Edge browser and it's SO BAD. And it's also indistinguishable visually from Google. Total joke. So no.

predicts YES

@BTE it can still be awful and gain share. This is a relative measure, not an absolute one

bought Ṁ12 of NO

Presumably this is from windows search bar and xbox and no organic usage

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+4% 1d29% chance

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Related questions

Will Google search's market share (worldwide) go under 90% in 2024?

Will Google win its search antitrust trial?

Bing's market share passes 10% by 2030 (it's 3.4% as of 12/22)

By 2025, will Google be in a winning position in the "AI war" against Microsoft?

Will Bing AI stop sucking by mid 2024?

Will Google Search market share be lower than 60% by Dec 2032?

Will MSFT increase YoY in 2024?

In exactly two years (Mar 2026), will two shares of Alphabet/Google GOOG be worth more than one share of Microsoft MSFT?

Will Bing enter the top 10 most-visited websites by the end of 2024?

After GPT 5 is launched, will Microsoft's stock rise in the following two weeks?