When will an AI win a programming contest?
Basic
9
Ṁ700resolved Dec 4
100%86%
2022
1.6%Other
4%
2023
2%
2024
5%
2025
1.4%
NOT BY 2025
Year or “NOT BY 2025”
Judged by Advent of Code
https://adventofcode.com/2017/day/4
https://adventofcode.com/2017/leaderboard/day/4
or comparable
(Resolves at first proof of concept on these; or very similar algorithmic problems—long prompt, <100 lines of smart code, and 15/60/120s delays between guesses )
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2025?
5% chance
When will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize?
When will an AI model be better than me at competitive programming?
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
62% chance
Will an AI outcompete the best humans on any one programming contest of IOI, ICPC, or CodeForces before 2025?
13% chance
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2025)
32% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
33% chance
Will AI beat the best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2024?
10% chance
[ACX 2024] Will an AI win a (highest division) coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?
4% chance