AI: When will a laptop be smarter than a person?
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Which person, specifically? Smarter than any person that has ever existed? Smarter than at least one person? Those are two very different criteria.

predicts LOWER
predicts LOWER

No N/A for numeric markets (think emoji)

When will a phone/laptop match human compute—note that GPT-3 at 10k words per hour is roughly the cost of a PC; and happens to match ~1-3% of brain area in function

And Tesla/CommaAI are also vastly inferior to human perception/control, the main areas of the brain.