Will an open sourced SOTA LLM be trained on Intel hardware by 2024? | Manifold

Will an open sourced SOTA LLM be trained on Intel hardware by 2024?

9

190Ṁ359

Dec 31

14%

chance

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6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

In this market, we define

Open sourced as in the weights are released to the public to be downloaded

SOTA as in better performing than every other open sourced model in HF's open sourced LLM leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/HuggingFaceH4/open_llm_leaderboard)
Intel hardware as in Intel designed hardware, including Intel CPUs, GPUs and XPUs

If all of these above conditions are filfilled, this market will be marked as resolved.

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Related questions

Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?

Will an open-source LLM under 10B parameters surpass Claude 3.5 Haiku by EOY 2025?

By 2026, will it be standard practice to sandbox SOTA LLMs?

Will the transformer architecture be replaced in SOTA LLMs by 2028?

Will a SOTA open-sourced LLM forecasting system make major use of quasilinguistic neural reps (QNRs) before 2027?

What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2026?

Will we see a public GPU compute sharing pool for LLM model training or inference before 2026 ?

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When will a non-Transformer model become the top open source LLM?

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