Resolves based on whether or not their public facing first name, or preferred nickname, is also one of their birth names. Last names not considered.
They must be sworn in as president, and "confirmed" or whatever. Doesn't matter if they get there by election or military coup.
Acting President doesn't count.
Examples of future presidents who would resolve this market YES:
Peter "Pete" Buttigieg
Rafael Edward "Ted" Cruz
John Ellis "Jeb" Bush
Ronald "Ron" DeSantis
Ye "Ye" (Kanye West at birth)
Michael "Mike" Pence
Examples of future presidents who would resolve this market NO:
Kamala Harris
Donald Trump
Gavin Newsom
Nimrata Nikki Randhawa Haley ("Nikki" appears to be one of her birth names)
If someone is assigned a nickname and rejects it, it doesn't count. It needs to be a name they are called more often than their born first name,
Please comment if you would like a ruling on anyone in particular.
Update 8Jan2023: Joseph "Joe" Biden is the current president. His re-election in 2024 would delay resolution of this market, but it would not resolve. This market is based on whoever is sworn in as the "next" president, President 47.
Fun fact: The only president to be "2 presidents" is Grover Cleveland. He was the 22nd President 1885-1889, lost re-election, and then was re-elected after a 4 year break from 1893-1897 as the 24th President.
Because of this, Donald J Trump or other past presidents could still be the "next" President, while Biden (current president) would not be the "next" president, just serving a second term.
Related questions
Why is this
valued so high?
@NcyRocks Thanks, fixed. Let me know if you have any further corrections or suggestions to make it look sillier while still being accurate
@NathanpmYoung Joe Biden is the current president. I'm willing to discuss it if you disagree, but as far as I see it, re-election will mean he serves a second term. He wouldn't be the "next" (47th) president.