
Will a U.S. President have the same last name as a previous U.S. President by Feb 2033?
30
1kṀ10k2033
98.9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if an individual is inaugurated as U.S. President, said individual has the same last name as a previous president, and said individual was not themselves president immediately prior to inauguration (so Biden being re-elected in 2024 won't count.)
(This happening before market creation will not count for the purposes of this market)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a U.S. President die in office before 2034?
31% chance
Who will be President of the United States on January 21, 2037?
Will a US president be removed from office early for any reason through 2036?
43% chance
Will there be another non-white President of the United States before the end of 2032?
32% chance
Will another United States president be assassinated before the end of 2034?
17% chance
From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?
Will the 68th and 70th US Presidents be the same person?
3% chance
Which people will be elected U.S. president before 2033?
Who will be President of the United States on 1 Jan 2030?
Will the US have a president that's less than 50 years old by the end of 2029?
49% chance