SWEEPSTAKES MANIA PROP BETS (Duncan’s Manifest performance)
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58
Ṁ670k
resolved Oct 11
Resolved
YES
Rob’s airplane wins
Resolved
YES
Technical difficulties during the show
Resolved
YES
Robin Hanson is mentioned by name by one of the performers or an audience member who is asked to come up
Resolved
YES
Show officially starts before 4:45:00
Resolved
YES
Real money is given away
Resolved
YES
Reference to Moloch
Resolved
YES
Something explodes or goes bang
Resolved
YES
Eliezer Yudkowsky mentioned by name (first or last)
Resolved
YES
Someone does a handstand "on stage"
Resolved
YES
Someone from the audience unexpectedly becomes part of the show
Resolved
YES
Show officially starts before 4:40:00
Resolved
YES
Five Non-Staff Submissions Resolve Yes
Resolved
YES
Any ten options resolve no
Resolved
YES
Duncan sings six original songs
Resolved
YES
Duncan sings four original songs (or more)
Resolved
YES
0 mentions of Shoggoth
Resolved
YES
Mana is given away
Resolved
N/A
Duncan’s voice cracks
Resolved
NO
There are more prints of Duncan's Future Manifold Shirt that can be acquired
Resolved
NO
This option is over 69% the first time this market closes

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I dont know how to resolve the remaining ones, we can N/A or wait for the video(?)

The shirt one resolves no, right?

misresolve imo! please confirm with the performers, maybe they have a different take on that moment @Gen

@Stralor What do you think the reference was?

@sanyero it was in a song. I wasnt there but I heard the word while they were rehearsing.

@TonyGao It was said during the rehearsal, but not during the actual performance! I heard it during the rehearsal as well, which is why I created the entry lol

@TonyGao I will reopen and resolve later to Duncan or Tim’s choice. Feel free to fight about it, whoever answers me whenever I see them next will decide

@Gen I confirmed with Duncan yesterday and he said no

Thank you all for participating!!!

Make sure you go out front and scan the QR code by the shirts, for M10k free mana!!!!

I didn't hear any cracking?

bought Ṁ500 YES

@CarsonGale I also didn’t, idk how to resolve this one

@Gen We may need to review the footage!

@Gen I'll ask Noa

@CarsonGale I thought I heard a crack at around the point I bought YES at first. Later bets were partially.. trying to influence resolvers. But I genuinely do remember a crack, I could look in the footage if footage is available.

Yes, right?

This happened with the crystal

bought Ṁ5,000 YES

Yep, someone said “bang”

bought Ṁ0 YES

resolve yes

bought Ṁ9,136 YES

Can be resolved, "molochian" mentioned

bought Ṁ150 NO

What happens if this is the tenth and final NO? N/A?

Exactly four? Or four or more…? What’s the protocol here

@Gen Ok I thought about it, has to be four or more

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Gen agreed

bought Ṁ750 NO

gg

bought Ṁ7,000 YES

Resolve this yes

sold Ṁ6,861 YES

@Elliot_dev nvm show didn't start yet

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