Background

President Trump has recently threatened to implement a 250% reciprocal tariff on Canadian dairy and lumber products. This threat comes as part of his broader trade policy agenda, with Trump claiming that Canada imposes "tremendously high" tariffs on U.S. dairy and lumber products. While some tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico have been delayed until April 2, the specific tariffs on dairy and lumber remain under consideration.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to YES if President Trump implements a 250% tariff specifically on Canadian dairy or lumber products before the end of Q2 2025. The tariff must:

1. Be officially announced and implemented by the Trump administration

2. Apply a 250% or higher rate to either Canadian dairy or lumber products

The market will resolve to NO if:

• Trump implements tariffs at a lower percentage rate

• Trump threatens but never actually implements the tariffs

• The tariffs are announced but later canceled before implementation